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Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning for land use planning

机译:土地利用规划的滑坡敏感性,危险和风险区划指南

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摘要

More and more natural disasters are being reported worldwide, particularly with respect to landslides. They cause injuries and deaths and induce physical, environmental and economic damages that hamper the development of wealthy as well as poor countries and regions. It is therefore necessary to include consideration of landslide hazards in land use and emergency response planning for public safety and realization of safe engineering projects. It is essential for authorities to have appropriate maps describing hazardous areas at their disposal. It is also important that they are aware of the different steps within a coherent approach that lead to the identification of landslide areas, the evaluation of the corresponding hazards, and the assessment of the risks these assessments imply. A large number of distinctive methods for landslide hazard mapping have been tested and applied in different contexts for more than 30 years. Many of them have been presented in recent international conferences such as the International Symposium on Landslides (Rio de Janeiro, 2004), the International Conference on Landslide Risk Management (Vancouver, BC, 2005), or the International Forum on Landslide Disaster Management (Hong Kong, 2007), all of them organized under the auspices of the JTC-1, the joint ISSMGE, IAEG and ISRM Technical Committee on Landslides and Engineered Slopes. The JTC-1 recognizes that there is a need for unified terminology in susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning, so that zoning in any area could be compared on a similar basis with zoning of adjacent areas, and to insure that fundamental assessment steps are properly considered and applied in the management of landslide-prone areas. JTC-1 also recognizes that the time has now been reached when quantitative hazard and risk zoning is possible. With this in mind, JTC-1 appointed a Scientific Committee to undertake the development of guidelines for landslide susceptibility and hazard and risk zoning for land use planning with the requirement that the committee produce guidelines that are acceptable to the international community. A first draft in this complex process was developed by the Scientific Committee using as a starting point a document prepared by the Australian Geomechanics Society. This draft was discussed and its applicability was tested within an international group of 40 experts (listed at the end of the preface) most of whom met for a workshop in Barcelona from September 18 to 20, 2006. This very fruitful workshop proved to be a forum for vigorous debate, and many helpful suggestions arose on how to improve the guidelines. Many of these suggestions have been included in the Commentary appended to the Guidelines. There were numerous additional suggestions (which were not included in the interest of balance and because of space restrictions) and a large number of formal corrections that were important to improve the quality of the guidelines. A set of accompanying papers have been also included in this special issue of Engineering Geology. These papers are intended to clarify and develop some concepts and methods covered by the Guidelines in greater detail or describe well documented case histories that may be considered for methodological guidance. The guidelines are freely available in electronic form from the JTC-1 web page: http://www.geoforum.com/jtc1. The JTC-1 strongly encourages all persons who are undertaking landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning to follow these guidelines. It also encourages those carrying out research in these areas to use the terminology presented here so that all will share a common language. The JTC-1 and the authors of this document are quite aware that such guidelines are never eternally valid and that it will be necessary to provide some amendments or clarifications in the next decade. Moreover, the applicability of these guidelines in specific economic and jurisdictional contexts will have to be tested, in order to assess to what extent they are dealing with local land use planning needs with sufficient refinement. It is through the repetitive application of the guidelines in different contexts that it will be possible to prove their pertinence. Finally, all comments to the Scientific Committee related to the use of the guidelines will be most welcome. It is also essential that the long-term impact of the application of these guidelines be quantitatively assessed, so as to prove that the proposed process really leads to a sustainable way to “live with risks”. Some indicators referring to other types of natural hazards have proved that an appropriate land use planning policy can lead to a decrease of disasters, even if the value and number of exposed elements shows an increasing trend. Let us hope that it will also be the case with landslides, if the present guidelines are appropriately used and considered in land use and disaster management worldwide.
机译:世界范围内越来越多的自然灾害被报道,特别是在滑坡方面。它们造成伤害和死亡,并造成物理,环境和经济损失,从而阻碍富国和穷国和地区的发展。因此,有必要在土地使用中考虑滑坡灾害,并为公共安全和安全工程项目的实现制定应急计划。当局必须有适当的地图来描述危险区域以供其使用。同样重要的是,他们要意识到采用连贯一致的方法进行识别滑坡区域,评估相应灾害以及评估这些评估所暗示的风险的不同步骤。 30多年来,已经测试了许多独特的滑坡灾害地图绘制方法,并将其应用于不同的环境。其中许多已在最近的国际会议上介绍过,例如国际滑坡专题讨论会(里约热内卢,2004年),国际滑坡风险管理会议(2005年,不列颠哥伦比亚省温哥华)或国际滑坡灾害管理论坛(Hong (香港,2007年),所有这些活动都是在JTC-1,ISSMGE,IAEG和ISRM滑坡和工程边坡技术委员会联合主持下组织的。 JTC-1认识到在敏感性,危害和风险分区方面需要统一的术语,以便可以在相似的基础上将任何区域的分区与相邻区域的分区进行比较,并确保适当考虑了基本评估步骤并应用于易发生滑坡地区的管理。 JTC-1还认识到已经到了可以进行定量危害和风险分区的时间。考虑到这一点,JTC-1任命了一个科学委员会,负责制定滑坡敏感性,土地用途规划的危害和风险分区指南,并要求该委员会制定出国际社会可接受的指南。科学委员会以澳大利亚地质力学学会编写的文件为起点,制定了这一复杂过程的初稿。对该草案进行了讨论,并在一个由40名专家组成的国际小组中测试了其适用性(在序言结尾列出),其中大多数人于2006年9月18日至20日在巴塞罗那举行了研讨会。论坛进行了激烈的辩论,并就如何改进指南提出了许多有用的建议。其中许多建议已包含在《准则》的注释中。还有许多其他建议(出于平衡和空间限制的考虑而未包括在内)和大量形式上的更正,这些对提高指南的质量很重要。在本期《工程地质》特刊中还包含了一组随附的论文。这些文件旨在更详细地阐明和发展《指南》所涵盖的一些概念和方法,或者描述可以作为方法学指导考虑的有据可查的案例历史。可以从JTC-1网页(http://www.geoforum.com/jtc1)免费获得电子版的准则。 JTC-1强烈鼓励所有进行滑坡敏感性,危险性和风险分区的人员遵循这些准则。它还鼓励在这些领域进行研究的人员使用此处介绍的术语,以便所有人共享同一语言。 JTC-1和本文档的作者都非常清楚,这些指南永远不会永远有效,在接下来的十年中有必要提供一些修改或澄清。而且,必须评估这些准则在特定的经济和管辖范围内的适用性,以便评估它们在充分改进的情况下满足本地土地使用规划需求的程度。通过在不同情况下重复应用准则,才有可能证明其相关性。最后,将欢迎所有对科学委员会使用本准则的评论。还必须定量评估应用这些准则的长期影响,以证明所提议的过程确实导致了一种可持续的方式来“承受风险”。一些涉及其他类型自然灾害的指标已经证明,即使暴露的要素的价值和数量呈上升趋势,适当的土地利用规划政策也可以减少灾害。让我们希望,如果在世界范围的土地使用和灾害管理中适当地使用和考虑到本准则,滑坡也将如此。

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